Empty Threats

Iran has decided to give the finger to the international community by whipping open their collective Members Only trenchcoat and exposing the NEW! Nuclear facility they’ve been building.

“This new plant, God willing, will soon become operational,” said Mohammad Mohammadi-Golpayegani, who heads the office of supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, according to the semi-official Fars News Agency.

The facility, buried in a mountain outside the city of Qom, is still under construction. It is designed to enrich uranium and could be used to produce the essential material for a nuclear weapon.

Gordon Brown said: “The level of deception by the Iranian government and the scale of what we believe is the breach of international commitments will shock and anger the entire international community.”

(/required outraged)

Of course, here come the threats of action if Iran doesn’t stop working on the plant before it becomes a fully operational battle station

The first option would be to persuade Iran to change its ways through dialogue, but if that fails, then isolation and sanctions are other options, they said.

“If it’s not going to succeed, then there has to be consequences,” an official said.

Pressure could also come from the U.N. Security Council, the United States or other like-minded nations.

“They will respond,” one official said referring to Iran. “If not, they will pay the price.”

Really? What price is that?

I’ve said before sanctions don’t work with places like Iran because sanctions only hurt the general populace. You have to have a dictator leader who cares about the welfare of his people for sanctions to work.

Look at North Korea…tons of sanctions, but the Dear Leader continues on, unabated, because he doesn’t care if his people are starving.

So what options then? Staunchly worded resolutions formed by inadequate international committees? Perhaps we’ll send Ahmadinejad a fruitcake with a little note that says “You really should stop.”

We certainly don’t have the military capacity/public will to do anything heavy handed right now.

So, whatever action is decided, it would probably be best if those who won’t have to take action stop using their mouths to write checks someone else’s ass is going to have to cash.

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One Response to Empty Threats

  1. Niall says:

    Iran is showing a lot of bravado right now, its chief nuclear negotiator even telling Der Spiegel that Iran “welcomes new sanctions”. But this is a false front. The new sanctions being considered can hurt Iran very, very hard economically. Europe can choose to refuse to sell Iran gas, and Iran gets 1/3 of its refined gas from Europe. This would have a devastating effect in Iran. And then Germany could cut off all economic activity with Iran. Germany is Iran’s largest trading partner and banker. And it looks like we can actually get these sanctions, since Russia is now supporting us and China would not veto such sanctions (it will just abstain).

    Ahmadinejad’s handling of the Iranian economy is his weak point, since he came into office the champion of the poor. Yet poverty has gotten much worse under his rule. Driving Iran deeper into poverty might make his power untenable. Recall Iran is like Russia and China – power rests on keeping the wealthy wealthy. Once the really rich people start to suffer, problems occur.

    One can point to Zimbabwe to say sanctions don’t work. But Iran isn’t Zimbabwe. The political situation is completely different.

    The worst thing we could do right now is attack Iran, because that would force Iran to close ranks around Ahmadinejad, enhancing his legitimacy at a time when it is on shaky ground.

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