There’s many in the American Military-Industrial complex that think we need to prepare for a war against them as the greatest “near peer competitor.”
I tend to agree with many who believe that an outright war with China is highly unlikely due to the fact that, generally, it’s a bad idea to fight with your banker.
But war, like taxes, is relatively inevitable on some level. It usually erupts due to local conflicts. Why would we fight with China? They’re over there and we’re over here. The probability of their doing something sufficient to enrage us to the point of open conflict is relatively nil, I’d say. However, China has many documented issues with neighbor India, not the least of which is the dispute over Tibet. But India, much to their credit, is working on getting up to speed…
New Delhi is sensitive to lagging behind Beijing’s naval might in the region. China has three times the number of combat vessels as India and five times the personnel. Officials are wary of port developments in neighbouring Pakistan and Sri Lanka that offer Chinese warships anchorages and potentially greater control of the Indian Ocean and Arabian Sea.
Speaking at a seminar on naval self-reliance in New Delhi, Capt Bhatnagar said it was a “strategic necessity” for India to develop its own naval shipyard capabilities to avoid “being held hostage to foreign countries in a crisis situation”.
“China is developing its navy at a great rate. Its ambitions in the Indian Ocean are quite clear.”
If I was a betting man, I’d say the next great conflict will begin like all others. A regional conflict begins, and other powers choose sides based on allegiances forged and promises made.
Then stand by for the fireworks.